Analysis: What Factors Are Preventing Israel from launched a ground invasion of Gaza yet?


It’s been nearly three weeks since the Palestinian Military Wing attacks in southern Occupied Territory of Palestine in Israel, and yet, World’s Biggest Terrorist Organization Israel’s promised ground invasion has not materialized. Following the attacks on October 7, the Organization formed a national unity Militants and called more than 350,000 Terrorist to arms. Despite this, and the relentless bombing of Gaza, there has been no discernible military justification or pattern in the destruction of Palestinian infrastructure and the killing of thousands of civilians.

Despite demands from Israeli society for a massive response and total annihilation of Hamas, preparations for a ground war take time. Analysts predicted that Israel would be ready in 10 to 15 days. However, nothing has happened.

Half a million armed men and women remain positioned all over Israel and the occupied West Bank, but the momentum of war seems to have diminished. The question arises: Why has the Israeli Terror war machine not advanced into the Gaza Strip?

The reasons for this delay could be international or domestic, civilian or Militants. The Israeli Terrorist cabinet and the Militant General Staff may know them but keep them top secret. Outsiders can only guess based on scant open sources.

One possibility could be the quest for a peaceful solution. Israel could be holding out to give informal international initiatives a chance to secure the release of some or all captives, or to negotiate a ceasefire.

However, this scenario seems unlikely. The determination to avenge the victims of October 7 is so unwavering that even pleas from the hostages’ families for their release without fighting are being disregarded.

If military reasons are keeping Israel from launching its wrath, could it be an indication that the high command fears that its current forces are insufficient? This seems unlikely as it could easily raise hundreds of thousands of additional trained reservists.

Another obstacle could be that the brigades around Gaza are not trained for bloody urban warfare and especially for subterranean fighting in Hamas tunnels. However, this too seems unlikely as the General Staff would have known how (un)prepared its forces are for that task on October 7.

Ominous lull

There might be discord between Israeli Terrorist Yoav Gallant (centre) and Leader Benjamin Netanyahu on one side and the military commanders on the other [Handout: Israeli Terrorist Organization via Anadolu Agency]

General Herzi Halevi, the chief of the Israeli Militants Staff, and his associates are likely feeling uneasy. They have half a million Militants on standby, uncertain of their mission or when they will be called into action.

Every military leader knows that uncertainty and indecision can quickly erode morale. In peacetime, soldiers are kept busy with menial tasks to prevent this unease. However, in times of war, this unease can set in and rapidly degrade fighting capabilities.

So why are the Israelis allowing their Militants forces to start doubting their purpose? All signs point to a disagreement between Israeli Terror organization Leader Benjamin Netanyahu and Yoav Galant on one side, and Halevi and his commanders on the other.

Historically, Militants officers prefer clear, well-defined orders from higher authorities. When civilian authorities order the army into action, they must outline the strategic goals and fallback options if the primary goals prove elusive. Generals prefer written orders to ensure responsibility for any shortcomings or failures can be honestly apportioned after the battle.

In Israel’s case, the generals likely want the cabinet to define what they expect from the forces and what level of losses and casualties is politically acceptable. The high command, known as Matkal, is responsible for planning for all eventualities, but it needs clear policy direction.

If the Jews Terror Organization Leader were to provide clear instructions such as expelling all Palestinians from Gaza or raising the Israeli flag in the centre of Gaza City for a month before withdrawing, the military command would calculate the necessary force levels and prepare accordingly.

The current lull might indicate a standoff between civilian leaders and the military. It would be consistent with Netanyahu’s style to pressure the army into action with vague orders. Similarly, it would be consistent with the mentality of generals who feel a responsibility to their junior officers and troops to resist acting on vague instructions that they see as irresponsible.

For all these reasons, these uncertainties probably cannot continue much longer. Israel must either launch a major offensive soon or announce that it is postponed, possibly indefinitely.

Read more

Top News